Betting on baseball games is very common and many professional sports gamblers consider it to be one of the best ways to earn money because it is one of the simplest sports to handicap. There are also many games every day, so you have a wide variety of choice. Nevada Sportsbooks are happy to break even for the baseball season, which tells you many players must be winning! Here are some good tips for you to take:
- Try to avoid the Early Season
Early in the baseball season, the weather is bad at certain parks and some managers are still experimenting with their line ups.
Moreover, a lot of good pitchers get off to a slow start at the beginning of the season.
Spend some first weeks researching the teams instead of wagering them. The baseball season is long and there will be many opportunities for wagering the games.
- Bet the Underdogs
Almost all professional sports bettors will tell you that the secret to winning is to bet the underdog. When you wager the money line on the underdog you risk less to win more. Even the best baseball teams lose 60 games a year and the worst teams win close to that same number. You can use the Kelly Criterion to handle your bankroll and bet size.
The rest of the league is somewhere in between. Consider that the more favorites you wager, the higher the percentage of wins you will need to break even.
- Consider Streaks
Streaks run both ways. A team that is winning is obviously playing well, however, they are also confident. They will avoid psychological errors. They will, nevertheless, start demanding a higher price to wager on, so do not go too far with -150 and higher lines.
Losing streaks can also be long, so be careful betting on a team to win. The best news is that you will have a good price of +200 or higher on a losing team.
Wager on a team whose pitcher did well in his last game. Pitchers usually work every 4th day. If a pitcher got clobbered in his last outing he may not be mentally ready to pitch again. You should also pay attention to the team’s relief pitcher. If a relief pitcher for a team has been overworked in his last two games you may want to avoid that team.
You should consider the pitcher from the other team as well. When 2 top pitchers go head to head it can come down to a single mistake to decide the game. I would rather bet a top pitcher going against a lesser one than bet on two big pitchers dueling it out.
- Compare the Teams
The way to beat baseball is known to compare the teams, beyond just pitching. You should look at the strengths and weaknesses of each team. How can the starting players match up against one another? Some teams are more offensive with great hitters whereas other teams are stronger in playing defense.
If you wager on the defensive strength team, make sure they will be able to score something, and that their starting pitcher is powerful. If you wager them with their 3rd or 4th starter, you are likely to lose 1-0 or 2-1.
- Consider the Park
Home field advantage isn’t as important in baseball as it is in football, however, you should still consider the ball park. Some teams play better in some parks than others. Some players just cannot seem to hit well in some parks. Some parks have their own quirks such as the short left field at Fenway in Boston.
- Shop for the Best Line
Shop around for the best money lines. Some Sports books offer 20 cent money lines whereas others are providing 10 cent lines (so-called a dime-line). Many of the local casinos offer 10 cent lines whereas most of the casinos on The Strip offer 20 cent lines. Dime lines are great for the player since the house edge is smaller and you win more when you wager the underdog.
For instance: The Yankees are plus 140 over the Boston. If you wager the Yankees and they lose you are minus $140. If you wager Boston and they win you will be paid $130 with a dime line but will be paid only $120 with that 20 cent line.
- Avoid Rivalries
Some teams have a natural rivalry with each other such as the Yankees and Red Sox or Giants and the Dodgers. When these rivals play they are often up for the game and play their best. Pay attention to the dog team in these matchups.
- Injuries to the Starting Line Up
Be sure there is no injury in the starting line up. In a game that can be decided by defense, you want to make sure the core players are healthy. Never back a team if it cannot put its top players on the filed. A replacement for a key player could have timing that is just off a little from not playing a steady basis.
They key to winnings at any form of gambling comes down to disciplines. In Sports wagering the biggest mistake that most players often make is wagering too many games. Players are on a winning streak may be greedy and decide to bet more games. Do not chase your losses and be on the lookout for team trends.